Re: Five Years After

["Nasser M. Abbasi" <nma@12000.org>]

On 1/13/2018 6:36 AM, Jeffrey R. Carter wrote:
> In 2000, when ISO/IEC 8652:1995 was 5 years old, every compiler vendor had a
> compiler for it.
> 
> In 2012, when ISO/IEC 8652:2007 was 5 years old, about half of the comiler
> vendors had a compiler for it.
> 
> in 2017, when ISO/IEC 8652:2012 was 5 years old, one compiler vendor had a
> compiler for it.
> 
> Can we extrapolate and conclude that when Ada 2X is five years old, there will
> be no compiler vendors with a compiler for it?
> 

Did first a linear fit, so in 2023 (assuming this is when
Ada2X will be), it shows there will be -0.23799 compiler
vendors.

I used 2.5 vendors for 2012, which is half the 5 vendors
you said there were in 2000.

In[19]:= data={{2000,5},{2012,2.5},{2017,1}};
f= Fit[data, {1,x}, x] (*linear fit*)
Out[20]= 465.759 -0.230349 x  (*the line equation*)

f/.x->2023 (*see what happens at year 2023*)

Out[21]= -0.237991
-----------------

Using Quadratic fit, shows there will be -1.15588 compiler
vendors.

In[16]:= data={{2000,5},{2012,2.5},{2017,1}};
f= Fit[data, {1,x,x^2}, x]
Out[17]= -21276.4+21.425 x-0.00539216 x^2

f/.x->2023
Out[18]= -1.15588

Since it is not possible physically to have negative
compiler vendors, then using zero seems to make more
sense.

--Nasser