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From: Wes Groleau <wwgrol@ftw.rsc.raytheon.com>
Subject: Re: Computer Programming for Everybody?
Date: 1999/09/22
Date: 1999-09-22T00:00:00+00:00	[thread overview]
Message-ID: <37E8DD13.AA81C767@ftw.rsc.raytheon.com> (raw)
In-Reply-To: Pine.HPP.3.93.990915162218.958A-100000@merle.acns.nwu.edu

> > Today's elementary students will all (well, 95%) need to be
> > comfortable with computers when they are adults.  But only
> > (wild guess) 60% will need to be programmers.
> 
> That's a pretty high proportion of programmers. I guess we'll have
> lots of unemployed programmers :-) Today in the USA, there are only about
> one-million people employed in software development (counting managers,
> tech-writers, etc.). This is in a workforce of about 190 million with
> population about 260 million.

Like I said, wild guess.  But even today, probably one-third of the
people
who are not formally "software developers" do some kind of programming.
A friend of mine is a chemist, and does lots of it.  Computers will
become
easier to use, resulting in less programming by the "uninitiated" but I
still
think that as more and more people become able to do programming, it
will be
harder and harder for a non-programmer to compete--even in a
non-programming
job.

But I still say under ten is too young for most kids to start doing
programming.
Again, my ten-year-old son, who beats me at chess and whose math skills
are in
the top 5% of fifth graders, is NOT ready for programming.




  parent reply	other threads:[~1999-09-22  0:00 UTC|newest]

Thread overview: 26+ messages / expand[flat|nested]  mbox.gz  Atom feed  top
1999-09-10  0:00 Computer Programming for Everybody? Ted Dennison
1999-09-10  0:00 ` David Botton
1999-09-10  0:00 ` Raymond Calande
1999-09-11  0:00 ` Vladimir Olensky
1999-09-12  0:00 ` Brian Rogoff
1999-09-12  0:00   ` mitch
1999-09-13  0:00     ` Preben Randhol
1999-09-13  0:00       ` Matthew Heaney
1999-09-13  0:00         ` Preben Randhol
1999-09-13  0:00     ` Larry Kilgallen
1999-09-13  0:00       ` John Duncan
1999-09-13  0:00     ` Brian Rogoff
1999-09-14  0:00       ` Robert Dewar
1999-09-14  0:00         ` Wes Groleau
1999-09-13  0:00     ` Mike Hall
1999-09-14  0:00     ` tmoran
1999-09-13  0:00 ` Tarjei Jensen
1999-09-13  0:00   ` Richard D Riehle
1999-09-14  0:00     ` Wes Groleau
     [not found]       ` <Pine.HPP.3.93.990915162218.958A-100000@merle.acns.nwu.edu>
1999-09-22  0:00         ` Wes Groleau [this message]
1999-09-14  0:00     ` Robert I. Eachus
     [not found]       ` <7ronav$shf@dfw-ixnews7.ix.netcom.com>
1999-09-22  0:00         ` Robert I. Eachus
1999-09-23  0:00           ` Preben Randhol
1999-09-23  0:00             ` Robert I. Eachus
1999-09-27  0:00           ` Richard D Riehle
1999-09-27  0:00             ` Marin David Condic
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