From: agate!howland.reston.ans.net!usc!venice!gumby.dsd.trw.com!truffula.fp.trw .com!trwacs!erwin@ucbvax.Berkeley.EDU (Harry Erwin)
Subject: Re: Why Ada has seven years to thrive or die
Date: 6 Sep 93 01:12:36 GMT [thread overview]
Message-ID: <26e2q4$9b0@truffula.fp.trw.com> (raw)
In article <1993Aug31.132355.967@sei.cmu.edu> firth@sei.cmu.edu
(Robert Firth) writes:
>In article <CCMv60.Bux@world.std.com> srctran@world.std.com
>(Gregory Aharonian) writes:
>> PRECENTAGE OF USERS ADOPTING
>> OBJECT ORIENTED TECHNOLOGY
>>
>> 1994 2%
>> 1995 11%
>> 1996 34%
>> 1997 53%
>> 1998 71%
>> 1999 80%
>> 2000 88%
>
This is a pretty standard distribution for the acceptance of an innovation
over time (logistic function). Similar patterns are present in the
statistics of conversion to Islam in Visigothic Spain and in the emergence
of industrial technologies in 19th century England. The continued low
level of acceptance of Ada even in the mandated world indicates that the
collapse of the military threat will probably result in the disappearance
of this (and similar) technologies except where its advantages overcome
its known economic weaknesses.
Cheers,
--
Harry Erwin
Internet: erwin@trwacs.fp.trw.com
Working on Freeman nets....
next reply other threads:[~1993-09-06 1:12 UTC|newest]
Thread overview: 7+ messages / expand[flat|nested] mbox.gz Atom feed top
1993-09-06 1:12 Harry Erwin [this message]
-- strict thread matches above, loose matches on Subject: below --
1993-09-02 3:07 Why Ada has seven years to thrive or die Michael Feldman
1993-09-01 12:42 cis.ohio-state.edu!news.sei.cmu.edu!firth
1993-09-01 4:05 Alex Blakemore
1993-09-01 1:34 Gregory Aharonian
1993-08-31 17:23 agate!usenet.ins.cwru.edu!magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu!cis.ohio-state.edu!ne
1993-08-31 16:58 Gregory Aharonian
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